Merseyside farmer Olly Harrison's words ring with a stark reality: 'We might as well not bother growing things and leave the farms empty.' This sentiment encapsulates the dire situation faced by arable farmers across the UK, particularly in the north-west, due to the extreme weather conditions of recent years. The impact of heatwaves, prolonged dry spells, and flooding is not just reducing crop yields but also forcing farmers to reconsider the very sustainability of their industry.
Harrison's experience is a microcosm of the challenges many farmers are encountering. With crop yields halved and the need to invest in additional processes to make produce sellable, his profits are significantly impacted. The unpredictability of the climate, as evidenced by the dry spring followed by an unusually wet 2024, has led to a lack of clear patterns, making long-term planning nearly impossible. Harrison's response to this crisis is diversification, with 14 different income streams, including dog walking fields, offices, and recycling tree waste, as well as revenue from his YouTube channel, Olly Blogs Agricontract.
However, diversification is not a panacea for all farmers. Paul Johns, managing director of Lancashire Crop Consultancy Ltd, paints a more grim picture. The heatwaves of May, June, and the current month have resulted in harvests being only half the weight they should be. This has led to a dire financial situation, with farmers struggling to pay bills months after the harvest. Johns notes a shift in payment terms, from upfront payments to 30-day and then 90-day delays, even from affluent families. The situation is so dire that the farmers of today, who are in their 40s and 50s, are the first generation in their families to not make a profit.
The global market further exacerbates the problem. With the UK supply short, buyers can turn to other countries like Canada, where the price of wheat is determined by the world market. This dynamic means that even if the price in supermarkets rises due to the hot weather, the financial burden does not necessarily fall on the farmers but rather on the consumers. Johns emphasizes the need for subsidies, a support system that was in place when the UK was part of the EU.
The National Farmers' Union (NFU) has called for investment to help farms adapt to changing weather patterns, recognizing the need to ensure the continued production of the country's food. The situation is a stark reminder of the fragility of the agricultural sector and the urgent need for policies that support farmers in the face of extreme weather events and global market pressures.